Agentic Commerce Market to Surge to $1.5 Trillion by 2030, Juniper Research Forecasts Explosive AI-Driven Growth

A groundbreaking study by Juniper Research predicts that global spending on agentic commerce could skyrocket to $1.5 trillion by 2030.

Agentic commerce refers to AI agents that enhance product discovery and streamline transactions, complementing traditional e-commerce processes.

Explosive Market Projections

Transaction values in agentic commerce are expected to hit $8 billion as early as 2026, marking the start from pilot deployments in 2025.

This rapid growth stems from advancements in AI, positioning agentic systems as the next evolution in online shopping.

Historical Context and Evolution

Historically, e-commerce has relied on human-driven searches, but AI agents now automate and personalize the entire buying journey.

Early pilots in 2025 and 2026 will lay the groundwork, transitioning from manual to autonomous commerce agents.

Key Industry Leaders

Mastercard, Visa, and Stripe lead the 2026 Competitor Leaderboard for agentic commerce payments infrastructure among 14 evaluated providers.

These companies excel in enabling seamless agentic transactions amid a fragmented global payments landscape.

Impacts and Future Outlook

For consumers, agentic AI promises superior product discovery, though building trust remains a critical barrier to adoption.

Businesses face opportunities to capture market share by integrating diverse payment methods early on.

By 2030, this trillion-dollar shift could redefine retail economics, blending AI autonomy with human oversight for unprecedented efficiency.