US economy could ‘overheat’ under Trump, warns bond giant Pimco

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Financial Times 2w ago

US economy could ‘overheat’ under Trump, warns bond giant Pimco - Financial Times

Quick Summary:

That would not be “a friendly scenario to the commercial real estate market”, he said.“That could present some problems to some of these sectors that have rallied more recently in the hopes of central bank cuts.

Market pricing this week indicated that traders have also started to scale back their bets on Fed easing for 2025, and now anticipate less than 1 percentage point worth of cuts by the end of next year.

However, government bonds initially sold off sharply earlier this week in expectation of higher inflation, although the 10-year Treasury has since made back those losses after Fed chair Jay Powell said it was too early to know what the substance of Trump’s policies would be.