Shift in US bond yields leaves investors guessing about economic outlook

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Financial Times 13h ago

Shift in US bond yields leaves investors guessing about economic outlook - Financial Times

Quick Summary:

However, investors and strategists are split on what the ending of this inversion — driven by investors increasing their bets on rapid interest rate cuts in recent weeks — might mean.

Cementing investors’ expectations of looser monetary policy, Fed chair Jay Powell signalled at August’s Jackson Hole economic conference that “the time has come” for US interest rate cuts.

Swaps markets are fully expecting a quarter point interest rate cut from their current range of 5.25 to 5.5 per cent at the Fed’s meeting later this month, and additionally are pricing in a 40 per cent chance of a half point cut.