Polymarket is 90% Accurate in Predicting World Events: Research

Quick Summary:

Research shows that Polymarket is 90% accurate in predicting how events will occur one month out, and 94% four hours before the event occurs.

McCullough's findings about the accuracy of Polymarket are likely to be of interest in Ottawa, where Polymarket shows that new Liberal Party of Canada leader Mark Carney now has a significant lead over his Conservative rival Pierre Poilievre, even more than what poll aggregators are showing.

Sports is a growing sector for Polymarket, with nearly $4.5 billion in collective volume wagered on the outcomes of the NBA, MLB, Champions League, and Premier League finals, according to data portal Polymarket Analytics.

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Article Details

Author / Journalist: Sam Reynolds

Category: Crypto

Markets: United StatesCanadaCuba

Topics: Markets Polymarket

Source Website Secure: Yes (HTTPS)

News Sentiment: Neutral

Fact Checked: Legitimate

Article Type: News Report

Published On: 2025-03-21 @ 05:26:14 (2 days ago)

News Timezone: GMT -5:00

News Source URL: coindesk.com

Language: English

Article Length: 305 words

Reading Time: 2 minutes read

Sentences: 21 lines

Sentence Length: 15 words per sentence (average)

Platforms: Desktop Web, Mobile Web, iOS App, Android App

Copyright Owner: © CoinDesk

News ID: 27208997

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Main Topics: Crypto

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Headquarters: United States

News Last Updated: 18 hours ago

Coverage Areas: United States

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