How investors can respond to Trump’s tariffs turmoil

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Financial Times 15h ago

How investors can respond to Trump’s tariffs turmoil - Financial Times

Quick Summary:

Some have only recently changed their views. Consider this statement from the UK’s sensible, and formerly optimistic, CCLA — Churches, Charities and Local Authorities, which invests nearly £16bn for its clients.“We reduced equity exposure by 5 percentage points in our multi-asset funds last month, raising index-linked gilts and cash.

Yes, grasping all the important stuff, such as corporate earnings growth, price inflation and consumer spending behaviour, are vital to divining the future direction of equity markets.

Stagflation is a risk here, not just recession,” says Salman Ahmed, global head of macro and strategic asset allocation at Fidelity International.“If all the [US trade] tariffs come through as discussed they will deliver a [1.8 percentage point] inflation shock to the US,” based on Fidelity estimates.