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Bitcoin experiencing “shakeout” not end of 4-year cycle: analysts

Coin Telegraph LogoCoin Telegraph16h ago

Bitcoin experiencing “shakeout” not end of 4-year cycle: analysts - Coin Telegraph

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Related: Rising $219B stablecoin supply signals mid-bull cycle, not market topBitcoin halving and four-year cycle still crucial for price action: Nexo analystDespite fears over a disrupted Bitcoin bull market, the four-year cycle, along with the Bitcoin halving event, remain crucial for Bitcoin’s price action, according to Iliya Kalchev, dispatch analyst at Nexo digital asset investment platform.“Bitcoin’s four-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) has declined to a record low of 8%, posing questions about whether its traditional four-year cycle remains valid,” Kalchev told Cointelegraph, adding:“Although strong institutional adoption over the past year has served as a significant tailwind for Bitcoin, its halving events are still expected to exert long-term influence.”The 2024 Bitcoin halving reduced the Bitcoin network’s block reward to 3.125 BTC per block.

Source: Cointelegraph“Despite this, Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle remains an important factor, historically shaping price movements,” said the analysts, adding:“Corrections within bull cycles are normal, and past trends suggest that this may be a shakeout rather than the start of a prolonged bear market.”However, the launch of the US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which temporarily surpassed $125 billion in cumulative holdings, along with the growing institutional crypto investments make it “clear that the conventional cycle ceases to exist,” the analysts added.

Despite investor sentiment dropping into “Extreme Fear” multiple times, historic chart patterns suggest that this may just be a price shakeout — a sudden price drop caused by multiple investors exiting their positions, preceded by a sudden price recovery.“Several key technical indicators have turned bearish, leading to speculation that the bull cycle may be ending prematurely,” Bitfinex analysts told Cointelegraph.BTC/USD, 1-year chart.

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Article Details

Author / Journalist: Cointelegraph by Zoltan Vardai

Category: Crypto

Markets:

Topics:

Source Website Secure: Yes (HTTPS)

News Sentiment: Negative

Fact Checked: Legitimate

Article Type: News Report

Published On: 2025-03-16 @ 10:09:39 (16 hours ago)

News Timezone: GMT -5:00

News Source URL: cointelegraph.com

Language: English

Article Length: 434 words

Reading Time: 3 minutes read

Sentences: 11 lines

Sentence Length: 40 words per sentence (average)

Platforms: Desktop Web, Mobile Web, iOS App, Android App

Copyright Owner: © Coin Telegraph

News ID: 27050277

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Main Topics: Crypto

Official Website: cointelegraph.com

Update Frequency: 178 posts per day

Year Established: 2013

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News Last Updated: 8 hours ago

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